Type / rarity
Seed · Super
Seed guide · Aligned community row · reviewed July 30, 2026
The reviewed Seed Shop table lists Dragon's Breath at 90,000,000 Sheckles, one unit and a 0.28% appearance claim. Save around the live price and confirm the current shop row before making a purchase plan.
Type / rarity
Seed · Super
Reported route
Sam's Seed Shop
Published price claims
90,000,000 Sheckles
Stock / spawn chance
0.28%
What the current evidence supports
Dragon's Breath combines an extreme acquisition claim with a repeat-harvest crop reference. The current table lists 3,400 Sheckles at 7.5 kg and a 3,068 normal minimum, while a launch-week source reports 4,900. Three recent references support the current baseline, but the older higher value remains a visible dated conflict.
The reviewed community table reports one aligned listed price.
Live-game boundary
At 0.28%, even dozens of assumed-independent refreshes leave substantial miss risk. Calculated probability describes a scenario, not a schedule or guarantee.
Next action: Check the live Seed Shop after its refresh; a listed chance is not a stock guarantee.
Seed-to-crop evidence
Seed price and crop value come from separate audited metrics. Their comparison is a gross reference, not net profit, because growth time, lifetime yield, exact weight, mutations, decay and bonuses are not controlled here.
Average reference
3,400 Sheckles
Average weight
7.5 kg
Normal minimum
3,068 Sheckles
Harvest type
Repeat
A June 15 source reported 4,900 Sheckles, compared with the current 3,400-Sheckle reference. Neither value is averaged into the other, and the live Sell Stand overrides both.
Decision framework
The 90-million seed claim should not be justified by dividing it by one unmutated fruit value. A repeat crop can produce many fruits, and mutations or weight may dominate outcomes, but this dataset lacks lifetime yield and growth-cycle observations. Use a personal harvest sample before estimating payback; the page deliberately refuses to invent one.
Current-input scenario
Use the live price when possible. Probability assumes every shop check is independent and the dated community chance remains fixed; neither assumption is verified.
At least one appearance
2.765%
Long-run expected observations
357.14
Balance shortfall
90,000,000 Sheckles
Active earning time
150 hours
Expected observations means 1 ÷ p over a long sequence; it is not the point at which an appearance becomes due. Savings time is active earning time, not calendar time.
Probability reference
The table uses 1 − (1 − p)^n. It is a mathematical scenario under a fixed independent rate, not a live schedule, pity system or proof of the game's randomization rules.
| Observations | Calculated chance | Miss risk |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.28% | 99.72% |
| 5 | 1.3922% | 98.6078% |
| 10 | 2.765% | 97.235% |
| 25 | 6.7698% | 93.2302% |
| 50 | 13.0812% | 86.9188% |
Mutation sensitivity
These are low/high scenarios across conflicting community multiplier reports. They do not prove compatibility, stacking, exact weight or the chance of receiving a mutation.
Rare growth / Gold Seed or Midas-related event
34,000–51,000 Sheckles
Rare growth / Rainbow event or Unicorn
34,000–136,000 Sheckles
Lightning / Shocked weather
85,000–272,000 Sheckles
Snowfall weather
10,200–68,000 Sheckles
Starfall weather
85,000–170,000 Sheckles
Blood Moon weather
204,000–272,000 Sheckles
Aurora Borealis weather
5,100–136,000 Sheckles
Source and release boundary
The profile adds item-specific interpretation and scenario math. The Seed Shop source audit controls the acquisition claims. Crop and mutation releases control those sections when present. None is an official Roblox or developer API for item mechanics.